Sign in
wishvane

How big is Tiny Balls?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 769–1k
from 31 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tiny Balls and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tiny Balls's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 684–1k
best case 11k (Can't Drive This)
Games like Tiny Balls

A typical game among these

≈ 684–1k copies

≈ $2k after Steam's cut

from ~31 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Can't Drive This at ≈ 9k–14k copies, ≈ $48k–$128k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 282.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Party (5 of 8) and Competitive (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Party, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Local Co-Op + Co-op + Online Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Can't Drive This
2021
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$48k–$128k after Steam's cut $87k–$197k before Steam's cut
$19.99
350 reviews
Very Positive
Local Co-OpLocal Multiplayer
Mini Sports
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
43 reviews
Mixed
IndieCasual
Caravan Chaos
2021
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$715–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
21 reviews
Positive
Party GameLocal Multiplayer
Explosive Dinosaurs
2018
Est. copies
≈ 243–395
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$868–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$12.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
CasualAction
Snake vs Snake
2019
Est. copies
≈ 979–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut
$4.99
34 reviews
Positive
ArcadeAction
Total Arcade Racing
2021
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$9.99
31 reviews
Positive
RacingLocal Multiplayer
Drive Buy
2021
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
21 reviews
Positive
Party GameParty
Ultimate Monkey Race
2024
Est. copies
≈ 893–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
36 reviews
Mostly Positive
PartyMultiplayer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.