How much revenue did Caravan Chaos make?

$715–$2k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Caravan Chaos sell?

Q: How many copies did Caravan Chaos sell?

521 to 846 copies, based on its 21 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 521–846; $715–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut; from 21 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Caravan Chaos and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Caravan Chaos's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 36k–59k

best case 2.3M (Pummel Party)

Games like Caravan Chaos

A typical game among these

≈ 36k–59k copies

≈ $92k–$411k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Pummel Party at ≈ 1.8M–2.9M copies, ≈ $7.3M–$19.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 100 reviews in their first month; the range was 13 to 1k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Competitive (6 of 8) and Party Game (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with 4 Player Local + Board Game, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Funny + Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Pummel Party 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M 53x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $7.3M–$19.6M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	58k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerFunny
SMYS : Show Me Your Stairs 2024	Est. copies ≈ 397–645 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$11.99	16 reviews Positive	Party GameLocal Multiplayer
Samurai GUNN 2013	Est. copies ≈ 30k–48k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $41k–$110k after Steam's cut $74k–$169k before Steam's cut	$4.99	472 reviews Very Positive	4 Player Local2D Fighter
Boomerang Fu 2020	Est. copies ≈ 76k–124k 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $313k–$842k after Steam's cut $570k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	4 Player LocalLocal Multiplayer
Ultimate Chicken Horse 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 49x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	54k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MultiplayerParty
Fling to the Finish 2024	Est. copies ≈ 35k–57k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $193k–$518k after Steam's cut $350k–$797k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Very Positive	PhysicsParty Game
SpeedRunners 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M 34x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	37k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerRacing
Unspottable 2020	Est. copies ≈ 19k–31k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $53k–$143k after Steam's cut $97k–$220k before Steam's cut	$9.99	780 reviews Very Positive	PhysicsCartoon