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How many copies did Row Divers sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
from 194 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Row Divers and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Row Divers's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 256k–409k
best case 490k (Idle Champions of the Forgotten Realms)
Games like Row Divers

A typical game among these

≈ 256k–409k copies

≈ $1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Idle Champions of the Forgotten Realms at ≈ 374k–607k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 55 reviews in their first month; the range was 19 to 5k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Idler (7 of 8) and Clicker (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dungeons & Dragons + Idler.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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1.8x vs typical
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