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How many copies did Bottle Can Float sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before Steam's cut
from 133 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bottle Can Float and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bottle Can Float's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 67k–300k
best case 484k (Rusty's Retirement)
Games like Bottle Can Float

A typical game among these

≈ 67k–300k copies

≈ $160k–$600k after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Rusty's Retirement at ≈ 369k–600k copies, ≈ $709k–$1.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 854 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Idler (7 of 8) and Clicker (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Idler + Farming Sim, priced around $7.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Morphopolis
2014
Est. copies
≈ 272k–441k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$298k–$801k after Steam's cut $542k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$3.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleIndie
Cornerpond
2025
Est. copies
≈ 68k–111k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$56k–$151k after Steam's cut $102k–$232k before Steam's cut
$2.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationIdler
Ropuka's Idle Island
2025
Est. copies
≈ 107k–174k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$118k–$316k after Steam's cut $214k–$486k before Steam's cut
$3.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IdlerRelaxing
Rusty's Retirement
2024
Est. copies
≈ 369k–600k
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$709k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$6.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IdlerFarming Sim
Tiny Pasture
2025
Est. copies
≈ 214k–348k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$353k–$949k after Steam's cut $641k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$5.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
IdlerFarming Sim
Garden Galaxy
2022
Est. copies
≈ 66k–107k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$182k–$488k after Steam's cut $330k–$751k before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RelaxingSandbox
Истории ужасов: Воскрешение
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5k–7k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
182 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessAction
Atom
2021
Est. copies
≈ 843–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$229–$617 after Steam's cut $417–$949 before Steam's cut
$0.99
34 reviews
Positive
SimulationExperimental

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