How much revenue did Nocturnals make?

$51k–$138k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Nocturnals sell?

Q: How many copies did Nocturnals sell?

23k to 38k copies, based on its 942 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 23k–38k; $51k–$138k after Steam's cut $93k–$212k before Steam's cut; from 942 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nocturnals and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nocturnals's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 506k–656k

best case 860k (The Walking Dead: The Final Season)

Games like Nocturnals

A typical game among these

≈ 506k–656k copies

≈ $5.7M–$6.6M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Walking Dead: The Final Season at ≈ 655k–1.1M copies, ≈ $3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 822 reviews in their first month; the range was 660 to 5k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Choices Matter (8 of 8) and LGBTQ+ (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Life is Strange Remastered 2022	Est. copies ≈ 279k–453k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	11k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
Our Life: Beginnings & Always 2020	Est. copies ≈ 342k–556k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	14k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelRomance
Tell Me Why 2020	Est. copies ≈ 400k–650k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	16k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
missed messages. 2019	Est. copies ≈ 448k–728k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayVisual Novel
Life is Strange: True Colors 2021	Est. copies ≈ 419k–681k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	17k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
Monster Prom 2018	Est. copies ≈ 436k–708k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut	$11.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Dating SimComedy
The Walking Dead: A New Frontier 2016	Est. copies ≈ 775k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	19k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesStory Rich
The Walking Dead: The Final Season 2018	Est. copies ≈ 655k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	22k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichChoices Matter