How much revenue did Nocturnals make?

$51k–$138k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Nocturnals sell?

Q: How many copies did Nocturnals sell?

23k to 38k copies, based on its 940 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 23k–38k; $51k–$138k after Steam's cut $93k–$212k before the cut; from 940 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Nocturnals out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nocturnals's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 504k–655k

best case 859k (The Walking Dead: The Final Season)

Games like Nocturnals

The middle of these games

≈ 504k–655k copies

≈ $5.6M–$6.6M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Walking Dead: The Final Season at ≈ 654k–1.1M copies, ≈ $3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 823 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 660 to 5k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Choices Matter (8 of 8) and LGBTQ+ (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $20.
The era: The games you compared span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Our Life: Beginnings & Always 2020	Est. copies ≈ 341k–554k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	14k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelRomance
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missed messages. 2019	Est. copies ≈ 448k–728k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayVisual Novel
Life is Strange: True Colors 2021	Est. copies ≈ 419k–680k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before the cut	$59.99	17k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
Monster Prom 2018	Est. copies ≈ 436k–708k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before the cut	$11.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Dating SimComedy
The Walking Dead: A New Frontier 2016	Est. copies ≈ 772k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before the cut	$14.99	19k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesStory Rich
The Walking Dead: The Final Season 2018	Est. copies ≈ 654k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.9M before the cut	$19.99	22k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichChoices Matter