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How many copies did Deus Ex: The Fall sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 261k–425k
$718k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Deus Ex: The Fall and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Deus Ex: The Fall's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 358k–1.8M
best case 2.3M (Deus Ex: Mankind Divided)
Games like Deus Ex: The Fall

A typical game among these

≈ 358k–1.8M copies

≈ $3.0M–$11.6M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Deus Ex: Mankind Divided at ≈ 1.8M–2.9M copies, ≈ $14.5M–$39.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Cyberpunk (7 of 8) and Sci-fi (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cyberpunk + Stealth, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2007 to 2017, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 43 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Satellite Reign
2015
Est. copies
≈ 262k–426k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
CyberpunkStrategy
Deus Ex: Mankind Divided
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.5M–$39.1M after Steam's cut $26.4M–$60.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
42k reviews
Mostly Positive
CyberpunkStealth
Deus Ex: Human Revolution - Director's Cut
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkStealth
>observer_
2017
Est. copies
≈ 204k–332k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
CyberpunkHorror
Crysis 2 - Maximum Edition
2011
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$99k–$265k after Steam's cut $179k–$407k before Steam's cut
$29.99
189 reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
Deus Ex: Game of the Year Edition
2007
Est. copies
≈ 992k–1.6M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$6.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkRPG
E.Y.E: Divine Cybermancy
2011
Est. copies
≈ 508k–825k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkRPG
Invisible, Inc.
2015
Est. copies
≈ 283k–459k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkDifficult

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