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How many copies did Play minigames with Reiko sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25–40
$41–$109 after Steam's cut $75–$168 before Steam's cut
from 1 review (1 user reviews)
Only 1 review so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Play minigames with Reiko and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Play minigames with Reiko's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 159k–174k
best case 1.2M (Fields of Mistria)
Games like Play minigames with Reiko

A typical game among these

≈ 159k–174k copies

≈ $149k–$823k after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Dating Sim (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Fields of Mistria at ≈ 886k–1.4M copies, ≈ $3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 480 to 34k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dating Sim (2 of 8) and Farming Sim (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fishing + Simulation, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Call of the Wild: The Angler™
2022
Est. copies
≈ 189k–307k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Mixed
FishingSimulation
觅长生
2023
Est. copies
≈ 797k–1.3M
6.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Drift86
2019
Est. copies
≈ 214k–348k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$117k–$316k after Steam's cut $213k–$485k before Steam's cut
$1.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
RacingMultiplayer
Seek Girl:Fog Ⅰ
2020
Est. copies
≈ 116k–188k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$127k–$341k after Steam's cut $231k–$525k before Steam's cut
$3.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Fields of Mistria
2026
Est. copies
≈ 886k–1.4M
7.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.1M before Steam's cut
$13.99
36k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessFarming Sim
Faeria
2017
Est. copies
≈ 248k–403k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Card GameStrategy
Swaying Girl
2020
Est. copies
≈ 126k–205k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$142k before Steam's cut
$0.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentMature
Staxel
2019
Est. copies
≈ 139k–226k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$765k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
Farming SimCharacter Customization

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.