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How many copies did John Christian 3.0 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 744–1k
$407–$1k after Steam's cut $740–$2k before Steam's cut
from 30 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid John Christian 3.0 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including John Christian 3.0's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–9k
best case 48k (Hitler Waifu)
Games like John Christian 3.0

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–9k copies

≈ $18k–$60k after Steam's cut

from ~226 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Hitler Waifu at ≈ 37k–59k copies, ≈ $10k–$27k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 97 reviews in their first month; the range was 35 to 135.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action-Adventure (7 of 8) and Wargame (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action-Adventure, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Casual + Arena Shooter + Arcade; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hitler Waifu
2023
Est. copies
≈ 37k–59k
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$41k before Steam's cut
$0.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
CasualAdventure
Rescue Operation
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$34k before Steam's cut
$3.99
298 reviews
Very Positive
Hero ShooterSpectacle fighter
Dragon Princess is Hungry
2023
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$35k–$93k after Steam's cut $63k–$143k before Steam's cut
$19.99
254 reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Sword of Destiny
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$0.99
149 reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerPrecision Platformer
Baldo: The Guardian Owls
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$27k–$72k after Steam's cut $49k–$111k before Steam's cut
$19.99
197 reviews
Mixed
ActionRPG
Strikey Sisters
2017
Est. copies
≈ 33k–54k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$91k–$244k after Steam's cut $165k–$376k before Steam's cut
$9.99
962 reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureArcade
Dawn of Anarchy
2025
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$58k before Steam's cut
$13.99
147 reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyAction
B-17 Flying Fortress : The Mighty 8th Redux
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$35k–$95k after Steam's cut $64k–$146k before Steam's cut
$14.99
346 reviews
Mixed
ActionSimulation

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