How much revenue did Baldo: The Guardian Owls make?

$27k–$72k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Baldo: The Guardian Owls sell?

Q: How many copies did Baldo: The Guardian Owls sell?

5k to 8k copies, based on its 197 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5k–8k; $27k–$72k after Steam's cut $49k–$111k before Steam's cut; from 197 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Baldo: The Guardian Owls and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Baldo: The Guardian Owls's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 407k–906k

best case 12.2M (Hogwarts Legacy)

Games like Baldo: The Guardian Owls

A typical game among these

≈ 407k–906k copies

≈ $2.1M–$6.7M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hogwarts Legacy at ≈ 9.3M–15.1M copies, ≈ $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 464 to 171k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Action RPG (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Magic + Open World, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Magic + Character Customization + Fantasy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Hob 2017	Est. copies ≈ 193k–314k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	6k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Atomic Heart 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M 4.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $22.9M–$61.6M after Steam's cut $41.7M–$94.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	56k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentFPS
CrossCode 2018	Est. copies ≈ 562k–914k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	18k reviews Very Positive	Action RPGPixel Graphics
Hogwarts Legacy 2023	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 29x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	375k reviews Very Positive	MagicOpen World
Overlord™ 2007	Est. copies ≈ 427k–693k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $585k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut	$4.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Villain ProtagonistHack and Slash
Darksiders™ 2010	Est. copies ≈ 818k–1.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	13k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
Immortals Fenyx Rising 2022	Est. copies ≈ 119k–193k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut	$39.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureOpen World
TUNIC 2022	Est. copies ≈ 464k–753k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	19k reviews Very Positive	ExplorationPuzzle