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How many copies did Assassin’s Creed® Liberation HD sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 185k–300k
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Assassin’s Creed® Liberation HD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Assassin’s Creed® Liberation HD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–5.0M
best case 7.5M (Assassin's Creed® Odyssey)
Games like Assassin’s Creed® Liberation HD

A typical game among these

≈ 2.0M–5.0M copies

≈ $29.4M–$76.8M after Steam's cut

from ~78k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Assassin's Creed® Odyssey at ≈ 5.7M–9.3M copies, ≈ $94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (7 of 8) and Third Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Historical, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.6M–$79.6M after Steam's cut $53.8M–$122.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
89k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut $172.4M–$392.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
189k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
Rise of the Tomb Raider™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.6M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$53.7M–$144.2M after Steam's cut $97.5M–$221.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
156k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
Assassin's Creed® Syndicate
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.4M–$35.9M after Steam's cut $24.3M–$55.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
AssassinOpen World
Far Cry® New Dawn
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.1M–$30.0M after Steam's cut $20.3M–$46.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
35k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldFPS
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
128k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAdventure
Assassin's Creed Valhalla
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$18.5M–$49.8M after Steam's cut $33.7M–$76.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
45k reviews
Mixed
Open WorldAction
Dishonored 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.0M–$61.8M after Steam's cut $41.8M–$95.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
StealthFirst-Person

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