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How many copies did Asteroid Core sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 992–2k
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
from 40 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Asteroid Core and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Asteroid Core's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–22k
best case 329k (Time Clickers)
Games like Asteroid Core

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–22k copies

≈ $4k–$27k after Steam's cut

from ~568 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Time Clickers at ≈ 250k–407k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 139 reviews in their first month; the range was 45 to 423.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Clicker (7 of 8) and Idler (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Clicker + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grow Defense
2021
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
607 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualIdler
Idle Monster TD
2021
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
855 reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyTower Defense
The Wall Mustn't Fall
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$4.99
69 reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseAuto Battler
Time Clickers
2015
Est. copies
≈ 250k–407k
9.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
ClickerFree to Play
最后的仙门 The last Practice Sect
2022
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$14k–$39k after Steam's cut $26k–$60k before Steam's cut
$3.99
529 reviews
Mixed
IdlerClicker
Idle Tower Defense
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
$4.99
118 reviews
Mixed
ClickerTower Defense
Dino Market
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$4.99
70 reviews
Very Positive
ClickerCreature Collector
Samawa Idle
2023
Est. copies
≈ 15k–25k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $39k–$88k before Steam's cut
$4.99
623 reviews
Mixed
ClickerIdler

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