How much revenue did Fallen Ninja make?

$196–$527 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Fallen Ninja sell?

Q: How many copies did Fallen Ninja sell?

719 to 1k copies, based on its 29 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 719–1k; $196–$527 after Steam's cut $356–$810 before Steam's cut; from 29 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fallen Ninja and predicted how it would do from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including Fallen Ninja's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 366–553

best case 781 (Bear Warrior)

Games like Fallen Ninja

A typical game among these

≈ 366–553 copies

≈ $225–$1k after Steam's cut

from ~13 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 6 similar games are hits.

Best case: Bear Warrior at ≈ 595–967 copies, ≈ $817–$2k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 16 reviews in their first month.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 3D Fighter (6 of 6) and Hidden Object (6 of 6).
The winners: Winners here lead with 3D Fighter + Platformer, priced around $5.
When they shipped: 4 of the 6 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Soulsland 3: Spider Invasion 2023	Est. copies ≈ 446–725 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $612–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$4.99	18 reviews Positive	3D PlatformerHack and Slash
Bear Warrior 2024	Est. copies ≈ 595–967 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $817–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$4.99	24 reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureCasual
Steel Warrior 2024	Est. copies ≈ 298–484 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $163–$438 after Steam's cut $297–$674 before Steam's cut	$1.99	12 reviews Mixed	Third-Person ShooterHidden Object
Where are my potatoes 2: Land Of Mystery 2023	Est. copies ≈ 347–564 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $476–$1k after Steam's cut $866–$2k before Steam's cut	$4.99	14 reviews Mixed	3D PlatformerHidden Object
The Lighting Ages 2024	Est. copies ≈ 198–322 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $108–$292 after Steam's cut $197–$449 before Steam's cut	$1.99	8 reviews 8 user reviews	Choose Your Own Adventure3D Platformer
Cake Platformer 2024	Est. copies ≈ 273–443 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $74–$200 after Steam's cut $135–$307 before Steam's cut	$0.99	11 reviews Mixed	CasualAdventure