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How many copies did Cake Platformer sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$74–$200 after Steam's cut $135–$307 before Steam's cut
from 11 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cake Platformer and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cake Platformer's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 439–822
best case 1k (Gangsta Magic)
Games like Cake Platformer

A typical game among these

≈ 439–822 copies

≈ $346–$1k after Steam's cut

from ~17 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Gangsta Magic at ≈ 1k–2k copies, ≈ $1k–$4k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 18 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (8 of 8) and 3D Fighter (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Arcade, priced around $5.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Where are my potatoes 2: Land Of Mystery
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Est. copies
≈ 347–564
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$476–$1k after Steam's cut $866–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
14 reviews
Mixed
3D PlatformerHidden Object
The Lighting Ages
2024
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≈ 198–322
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Est. revenue
$108–$292 after Steam's cut $197–$449 before Steam's cut
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8 user reviews
Choose Your Own Adventure3D Platformer
Steel Warrior
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Est. copies
≈ 298–484
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Est. revenue
$163–$438 after Steam's cut $297–$674 before Steam's cut
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Third-Person ShooterHidden Object
Soulsland 3: Spider Invasion
2023
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$612–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
18 reviews
Positive
3D PlatformerHack and Slash
Gangsta Magic
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$4.99
42 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureAction
Bear Warrior
2024
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
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$817–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
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Mostly Positive
AdventureCasual
Fallen Ninja
2023
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$196–$527 after Steam's cut $356–$810 before Steam's cut
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AdventureAction
Music Man 2: New land
2023
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before Steam's cut
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16 reviews
Mixed
Precision Platformer3D Platformer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.