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How many copies did Music Man 2: New land sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 397–645
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before Steam's cut
from 16 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Music Man 2: New land and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Music Man 2: New land's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–2k
best case 3k (Dogs Club)
Games like Music Man 2: New land

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–2k copies

≈ $1k–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~40 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Dogs Club at ≈ 2k–4k copies, ≈ $3k–$7k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 26 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 53.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (8 of 8) and Platformer (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Exploration, priced around $4.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Marble Parkour
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$297–$799 after Steam's cut $540–$1k before Steam's cut
$0.99
44 reviews
Mixed
CasualAdventure
Music Man
2022
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$715–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
21 reviews
Positive
AdventureAction
Super Clown: Lost Diamonds
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$4.99
66 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventurePlatformer
Doggy Up!
2024
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $990–$2k before Steam's cut
$3.99
20 reviews
Positive
Precision Platformer3D Platformer
Super Clown Adventures
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$4.99
67 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureArcade
Dogs Club
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$3.99
96 reviews
Very Positive
RacingExploration
Flannel Amethyst
2021
Est. copies
≈ 868–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
35 reviews
Mixed
Adventure3D Fighter
Unblock
2025
Est. copies
≈ 893–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
36 reviews
Positive
Precision PlatformerExploration

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