How much revenue did Music Man make?

$715–$2k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Music Man sell?

Q: How many copies did Music Man sell?

521 to 846 copies, based on its 21 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 521–846; $715–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut; from 21 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Music Man and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Music Man's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 222k–333k

best case 1.5M (Antichamber)

Games like Music Man

A typical game among these

≈ 222k–333k copies

≈ $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Antichamber at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (5 of 8) and Walking Simulator (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle + First-Person, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Antichamber 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	18k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleFirst-Person
NaissanceE 2014	Est. copies ≈ 250k–406k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Very Positive	ExplorationIndie
Dreaming Sarah 2015	Est. copies ≈ 140k–228k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $231k–$621k after Steam's cut $420k–$955k before Steam's cut	$5.99	3k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaPuzzle-Platformer
Lifeless Planet Premier Edition 2014	Est. copies ≈ 204k–331k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $559k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	4k reviews Mostly Positive	AtmosphericSci-fi
Neva 2024	Est. copies ≈ 266k–432k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Very Positive	AdventurePlatformer
Awkward Dimensions Redux 2016	Est. copies ≈ 123k–200k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	3k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayAdventure
MANDAGON 2016	Est. copies ≈ 239k–389k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	6k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayPixel Graphics
RiME 2017	Est. copies ≈ 179k–290k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	5k reviews Very Positive	AdventurePuzzle