How much revenue did Dreaming Sarah make?

$231k–$621k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Dreaming Sarah sell?

Q: How many copies did Dreaming Sarah sell?

140k to 228k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 140k–228k; $231k–$621k after Steam's cut $420k–$955k before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dreaming Sarah and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dreaming Sarah's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 368k–613k

best case 5.9M (Celeste)

Games like Dreaming Sarah

A typical game among these

≈ 368k–613k copies

≈ $1.8M–$4.3M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Platformer (6 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Female Protagonist + Platformer, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Female Protagonist + Beautiful + Atmospheric; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
GRIS 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.8M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	96k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	BeautifulAtmospheric
Supraland 2019	Est. copies ≈ 446k–725k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerExploration
Hue 2016	Est. copies ≈ 474k–770k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	11k reviews Very Positive	IndiePuzzle
FEZ 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.7M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	16k reviews Very Positive	PlatformerIndie
Yoku's Island Express 2018	Est. copies ≈ 162k–264k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $892k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PinballMetroidvania
Celeste 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.4M 16x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Precision PlatformerDifficult
Out There Somewhere 2016	Est. copies ≈ 288k–468k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $791k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	7k reviews Very Positive	PlatformerPixel Graphics
Haydee 2016	Est. copies ≈ 278k–451k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity