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How many copies did RiME sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 179k–290k
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid RiME and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including RiME's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 233k–529k
best case 12.2M (Hogwarts Legacy)
Games like RiME

A typical game among these

≈ 233k–529k copies

≈ $2.0M–$4.3M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hogwarts Legacy at ≈ 9.3M–15.1M copies, ≈ $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 487 to 171k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (6 of 8) and Puzzle (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Exploration, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Open World + Magic + RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hogwarts Legacy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
47x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
375k reviews
Very Positive
MagicOpen World
We Were Here Forever
2022
Est. copies
≈ 471k–765k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$17.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
Escape RoomOnline Co-Op
Hob
2017
Est. copies
≈ 193k–314k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
Monument Valley
2022
Est. copies
≈ 221k–359k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$485k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $881k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$7.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleRelaxing
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
22x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
176k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
TUNIC
2022
Est. copies
≈ 464k–753k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationPuzzle
Jusant
2023
Est. copies
≈ 172k–280k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericParkour
What Never Was
2019
Est. copies
≈ 147k–239k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAdventure

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