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How big is What Never Was?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 147k–239k
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid What Never Was and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including What Never Was's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 404k–872k
best case 1.4M (Return of the Obra Dinn)
Games like What Never Was

A typical game among these

≈ 404k–872k copies

≈ $3.9M–$12.7M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Return of the Obra Dinn at ≈ 1.1M–1.7M copies, ≈ $5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Story Rich (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Mystery, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Talos Principle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePhilosophical
The Talos Principle 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 333k–541k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Amanda the Adventurer
2023
Est. copies
≈ 181k–294k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$447k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $813k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$8.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFirst-Person
Murders on the Yangtze River
2024
Est. copies
≈ 528k–858k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveAdventure
Return of the Obra Dinn
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveMystery
Indiana Jones and the Great Circle
2024
Est. copies
≈ 515k–837k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.6M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.0M before Steam's cut
$69.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureFirst-Person
Blue Prince
2025
Est. copies
≈ 501k–814k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.1M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleExploration
Amnesia: Rebirth
2020
Est. copies
≈ 232k–377k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
9k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action-AdventureFirst-Person

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