How much revenue did Blue Prince make?

$4.1M–$11.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Blue Prince sell?

Q: How many copies did Blue Prince sell?

501k to 814k copies, based on its 20k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 501k–814k; $4.1M–$11.1M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.1M before Steam's cut; from 20k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Blue Prince and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Blue Prince's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.3M

best case 3.5M (Outer Wilds)

Games like Blue Prince

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–2.3M copies

≈ $10.7M–$25.8M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Outer Wilds at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 18k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Mystery (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Exploration + Space, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Space + Exploration + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
What Remains of Edith Finch 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAtmospheric
The Talos Principle 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzlePhilosophical
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeVisual Novel
We Were Here 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	33k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayCo-op
Outer Wilds 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	108k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ExplorationSpace
Atomic Heart 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $22.9M–$61.6M after Steam's cut $41.7M–$94.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	56k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentFPS
ANIMAL WELL 2024	Est. copies ≈ 612k–995k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	25k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MetroidvaniaExploration
Chants of Sennaar 2023	Est. copies ≈ 869k–1.4M SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	35k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleAdventure