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How many copies did Amanda the Adventurer sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 181k–294k
$447k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $813k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Amanda the Adventurer and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Amanda the Adventurer's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.8M–4.7M
best case 23.2M (Half-Life 2)
Games like Amanda the Adventurer

A typical game among these

≈ 3.8M–4.7M copies

≈ $15.1M–$36.6M after Steam's cut

from ~128k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Half-Life 2 at ≈ 17.7M–28.8M copies, ≈ $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 64k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (6 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Sci-fi, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry FPS + Action + Sci-fi; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2004 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Resident Evil 7 Biohazard
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.1M–$64.9M after Steam's cut $43.9M–$99.9M before Steam's cut
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Buckshot Roulette
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Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
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MultiplayerDark
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2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$24.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
88k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
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2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
108k reviews
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ExplorationSpace
Half-Life 2
2004
Est. copies
≈ 17.7M–28.8M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction
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2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$14.6M–$39.2M after Steam's cut $26.5M–$60.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
143k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Inscryption
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut $36.9M–$84.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
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