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How many copies did Steel Warrior sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$163–$438 after Steam's cut $297–$674 before Steam's cut
from 12 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Steel Warrior and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Steel Warrior's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 924k–5.3M
best case 5.8M (Mad Max)
Games like Steel Warrior

A typical game among these

≈ 924k–5.3M copies

≈ $25.4M–$50.7M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mad Max at ≈ 4.4M–7.2M copies, ≈ $24.3M–$65.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 573 reviews in their first month; the range was 19 to 12k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Third Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Vehicular Combat, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas
2008
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
83k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Grand Theft Auto III
2008
Est. copies
≈ 943k–1.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Contraband Police: Prologue
2021
Est. copies
≈ 189k–307k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAction
Mad Max
2015
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.3M–$65.4M after Steam's cut $44.2M–$100.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
91k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldVehicular Combat
Just Cause 4 Reloaded
2018
Est. copies
≈ 982k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
32k reviews
Mixed
Open WorldAction
Flashing Lights - Police, Firefighting, Emergency Services (EMS) Simulator
2023
Est. copies
≈ 464k–755k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureDriving
Mafia II (Classic)
2011
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
59k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
Money Theft
2025
Est. copies
≈ 818–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
33 reviews
Mixed
Action3D Fighter

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