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How big is Contraband Police: Prologue?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 189k–307k
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Contraband Police: Prologue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Contraband Police: Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–14.8M
best case 78.3M (Euro Truck Simulator 2)
Games like Contraband Police: Prologue

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–14.8M copies

≈ $15.2M–$224.6M after Steam's cut

from ~127k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Euro Truck Simulator 2 at ≈ 59.7M–97.0M copies, ≈ $328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Driving (8 of 8) and Realistic (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Driving + Transportation, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

OMSI 2: Steam Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 942k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$20.9M after Steam's cut $14.1M–$32.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Automobile SimSimulation
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.5M–33.4M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
421k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationDriving
Forza Horizon 5
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut $209.7M–$477.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
282k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
Euro Truck Simulator 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 59.7M–97.0M
7.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut $596.4M–$1356.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
944k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DrivingTransportation
Gold Mining Simulator
2017
Est. copies
≈ 565k–918k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationMining
MudRunner
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
OffroadSimulation
American Truck Simulator
2016
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$45.0M–$120.9M after Steam's cut $81.7M–$186.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
197k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Automobile SimDriving
SnowRunner
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.5M–$31.1M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAutomobile Sim

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