How much revenue did Just Cause 4 Reloaded make?

Just Cause 4 Reloaded is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Just Cause 4 Reloaded sell?

Q: How many copies did Just Cause 4 Reloaded sell?

982k to 1.6M copies, based on its 32k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 982k–1.6M; from 32k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Just Cause 4 Reloaded and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Just Cause 4 Reloaded's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.2M–5.1M

best case 27.0M (BeamNG.drive)

Games like Just Cause 4 Reloaded

A typical game among these

≈ 3.2M–5.1M copies

≈ $22.0M–$45.4M after Steam's cut

from ~70k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: BeamNG.drive at ≈ 20.5M–33.4M copies, ≈ $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (7 of 8) and Sandbox (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Driving, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Driving + Automobile Sim + Realistic; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Space Engineers 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.9M–6.3M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.3M–$57.3M after Steam's cut $38.7M–$88.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	135k reviews Very Positive	SpaceSandbox
Goat Simulator 2014	Est. copies ≈ 3.9M–6.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	70k reviews Very Positive	SimulationFunny
Brick Rigs 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.2M–$22.0M after Steam's cut $14.8M–$33.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	60k reviews Very Positive	SandboxDestruction
BeamNG.drive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 20.5M–33.4M 6.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	421k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationDriving
Teardown 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$75.0M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	136k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DestructionPhysics
Just Cause 2 2010	Est. copies ≈ 3.3M–5.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.4M–$36.1M after Steam's cut $24.4M–$55.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	52k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Just Cause™ 3 2015	Est. copies ≈ 6.3M–10.2M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $34.4M–$92.4M after Steam's cut $62.5M–$142.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	128k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Universe Sandbox 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.0M–$35.0M after Steam's cut $23.6M–$53.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxSpace