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wishvane

How many copies did Just Cause 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3.3M–5.3M
$13.4M–$36.1M after Steam's cut $24.4M–$55.6M before the cut
from 52k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Just Cause 2 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Just Cause 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.9M–34.8M
best case 133.0M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)
Games like Just Cause 2

The middle of these games

≈ 8.9M–34.8M copies

≈ $129.4M–$210.0M after Steam's cut

from ~307k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.4M–164.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (8 of 8) and Automobile Sim (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grand Theft Auto IV: Complete Edition
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
203k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 101.4M–164.7M
6.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.1M reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–34.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$115.0M–$309.3M after Steam's cut $209.1M–$475.8M before the cut
$19.99
429k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
Mount & Blade: Warband
2010
Est. copies
≈ 10.9M–17.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$59.8M–$160.7M after Steam's cut $108.7M–$247.3M before the cut
$19.99
172k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MedievalRPG
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7.4M–12.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$101.3M–$272.4M after Steam's cut $184.2M–$419.1M before the cut
$49.99
297k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalStrategy
Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$27.7M–$74.5M after Steam's cut $50.4M–$114.6M before the cut
$19.99
203k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim
2011
Est. copies
≈ 20.1M–32.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.8M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.7M before the cut
$19.99
318k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - Complete Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.3M–70.4M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$595.5M–$1601.0M after Steam's cut $1082.7M–$2463.1M before the cut
$49.99
888k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG

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