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wishvane

How many copies did Sailaway III sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$19k–$51k after Steam's cut $35k–$79k before Steam's cut
from 175 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sailaway III and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sailaway III's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.1M
best case 3.0M (Russian Fishing 4)
Games like Sailaway III

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies

≈ $23.5M–$26.8M after Steam's cut

from ~39k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Russian Fishing 4 at ≈ 2.3M–3.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Realistic (8 of 8) and Simulation (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fishing + Simulation.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2.3x vs typical
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