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How many copies did Paper Sorcerer sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 36k–59k
$50k–$133k after Steam's cut $90k–$205k before Steam's cut
from 646 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Paper Sorcerer and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paper Sorcerer's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 61k–183k
best case 300k (Legend of Grimrock 2)
Games like Paper Sorcerer

A typical game among these

≈ 61k–183k copies

≈ $659k–$2.0M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Legend of Grimrock 2 at ≈ 229k–372k copies, ≈ $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dungeon Crawler (7 of 8) and First-Person (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dungeon Crawler + Grid-Based Movement, priced around $24.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2018. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy 50k–100k
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Real Time TacticsReal-Time
The Bard's Tale Trilogy
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Labyrinth of Refrain: Coven of Dusk
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SteamSpy 50k–100k
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Might & Magic X - Legacy
2014
Est. copies
≈ 192k–312k
1.6x vs typical
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SteamSpy 100k–200k
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RPGParty-Based RPG
Legend of Grimrock 2
2014
Est. copies
≈ 229k–372k
1.9x vs typical
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$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
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Est. copies
≈ 121k–197k
1.7x vs typical
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Early AccessDungeons & Dragons

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.