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How many copies did Oblin Party sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
from 88 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Oblin Party and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Oblin Party's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 277–1k
best case 3.1M (Gang Beasts)
Games like Oblin Party

A typical game among these

≈ 277–1k copies

≈ $562–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~18 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Gang Beasts at ≈ 2.3M–3.8M copies, ≈ $12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 25.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Fighter (5 of 8) and Physics (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Physics + Party Game, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Colorful + Party Game + Funny; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$272–$731 after Steam's cut $494–$1k before Steam's cut
$4.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
MultiplayerFunny
Squarena
2022
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$612–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
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MultiplayerPhysics
Gang Beasts
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
3756x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut $23.2M–$52.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
FunnyPhysics
Treadnauts
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$23k–$63k after Steam's cut $42k–$96k before Steam's cut
$14.99
186 reviews
Very Positive
PhysicsTanks
Miner Ultra Rag Smash
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$338–$907 after Steam's cut $614–$1k before Steam's cut
$0.99
50 reviews
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CasualSports
Sumorbit
2024
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$490–$1k after Steam's cut $891–$2k before Steam's cut
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9 user reviews
2D FighterAction
Which Way Up: Galaxy Games
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Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$14.99
29 reviews
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4 Player LocalPhysics
Cauldron's Rift
2025
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≈ 198–322
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$108–$292 after Steam's cut $197–$449 before Steam's cut
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8 user reviews
Beat 'em up2D Platformer

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