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How many copies did BAR OLD PAL VR : PROLOGUE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 198–322
$108–$292 after Steam's cut $197–$449 before Steam's cut
from 8 reviews (8 user reviews)
Only 8 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BAR OLD PAL VR : PROLOGUE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BAR OLD PAL VR : PROLOGUE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.2M–21.6M
best case 105.1M (Garry's Mod)
Games like BAR OLD PAL VR : PROLOGUE

A typical game among these

≈ 9.2M–21.6M copies

≈ $122.6M–$260.4M after Steam's cut

from ~263k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Garry's Mod at ≈ 80.0M–130.1M copies, ≈ $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Realistic (6 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Moddable, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Moddable + Building + Casual; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–15.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut
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175k reviews
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RacingAutomobile Sim
BeamNG.drive
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20.5M–33.4M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut
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421k reviews
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SimulationDriving
Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 80.0M–130.1M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.3M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxModdable
theHunter: Call of the Wild™
2017
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≈ 7.0M–11.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
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HuntingOpen World
Euro Truck Simulator 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 59.7M–97.0M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut $596.4M–$1356.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
944k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DrivingTransportation
Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
244k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic
Arma 3
2013
Est. copies
≈ 18.7M–30.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$154.1M–$414.3M after Steam's cut $280.2M–$637.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
296k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryAction
Forza Horizon 5
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut $209.7M–$477.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
282k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.