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How many copies did KIKEN Drive (2nd Lap) sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$96–$257 after Steam's cut $175–$396 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid KIKEN Drive (2nd Lap) and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including KIKEN Drive (2nd Lap)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–6.9M
best case 9.9M (Forza Horizon 4)
Games like KIKEN Drive (2nd Lap)

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–6.9M copies

≈ $39.4M–$64.9M after Steam's cut

from ~61k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Forza Horizon 4 at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 17k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Driving (7 of 7) and Racing (7 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Open World.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–15.9M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
F1® 2020
2020
Est. copies
≈ 990k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
DiRT Rally
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
Need for Speed™ Unbound
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$29.0M–$77.9M after Steam's cut $52.7M–$119.8M before Steam's cut
$69.99
61k reviews
Mixed
RacingMultiplayer
The Crew™ 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.0M–$67.2M after Steam's cut $45.5M–$103.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
100k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingOpen World
Forza Horizon 4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
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303k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
Wreckfest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
42k reviews
Very Positive
RacingDestruction

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.