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How many copies did Dead Rising 3 Apocalypse Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
$9.5M–$25.6M after Steam's cut $17.3M–$39.4M before Steam's cut
from 21k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dead Rising 3 Apocalypse Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dead Rising 3 Apocalypse Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.8M–11.7M
best case 40.1M (Project Zomboid)
Games like Dead Rising 3 Apocalypse Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 7.8M–11.7M copies

≈ $144.2M–$257.1M after Steam's cut

from ~227k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Project Zomboid at ≈ 30.5M–49.6M copies, ≈ $209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Co-op (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World, priced around $37. The breakout hits carry Post-apocalyptic + Survival + Online Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.3M–23.2M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
470k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Z1 Battle Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6.2M–10.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
202k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalMassively Multiplayer
Saints Row: The Third
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
70k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldAction
Project Zomboid
2013
Est. copies
≈ 30.5M–49.6M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut $381.6M–$868.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
483k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
No More Room in Hell
2013
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.9M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
77k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayZombies
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11.4M–18.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$188.7M–$507.3M after Steam's cut $343.1M–$780.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
234k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerZombies
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
220k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldCo-op
Hunt: Showdown 1896
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut $120.6M–$274.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
279k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldExtraction Shooter

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