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How big is .Forty-Five?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 25k–41k
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid .Forty-Five and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including .Forty-Five's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 440k–509k
best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)
Games like .Forty-Five

A typical game among these

≈ 440k–509k copies

≈ $3.5M–$4.8M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (7 of 8) and Roguelike Deckbuilder (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + Rogue-like + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Double Barrel Desperado
2024
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$61–$164 after Steam's cut $111–$253 before Steam's cut
$2.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
Chrono Ark
2024
Est. copies
≈ 342k–555k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Dicey Dungeons
2019
Est. copies
≈ 343k–558k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Battler
Hand of Fate
2015
Est. copies
≈ 522k–848k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.3M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
220k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
200k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
月圆之夜 (Night of Full Moon)
2019
Est. copies
≈ 317k–516k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
Card GameFree to Play
Risk & Riches
2025
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$340–$918 after Steam's cut $619–$1k before Steam's cut
$9.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews

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