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How many copies did Frozen State sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 23k–37k
$75k–$201k after Steam's cut $136k–$310k before Steam's cut
from 546 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Frozen State and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Frozen State's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.6M–28.4M
best case 88.0M (Left 4 Dead 2)
Games like Frozen State

A typical game among these

≈ 7.6M–28.4M copies

≈ $117.6M–$247.0M after Steam's cut

from ~341k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Left 4 Dead 2 at ≈ 67.0M–108.9M copies, ≈ $184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 55k reviews in their first month; the range was 12k to 327k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Zombies (7 of 8) and Survival (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Co-op, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 67.0M–108.9M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.2M–39.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
496k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Resident Evil 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$70.9M–$190.7M after Steam's cut $129.0M–$293.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
224k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Days Gone
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$32.0M–$86.0M after Steam's cut $58.2M–$132.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldZombies
Resident Evil 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut $139.0M–$316.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorAction
Resident Evil Village
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
155k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
7 Days to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
401k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies

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