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How many copies did Sugardew Island - Your cozy farm shop sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–15k
$43k–$115k after Steam's cut $78k–$177k before Steam's cut
from 369 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sugardew Island - Your cozy farm shop and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sugardew Island - Your cozy farm shop's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9k–106k
best case 188k (STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of Mineral Town)
Games like Sugardew Island - Your cozy farm shop

A typical game among these

≈ 9k–106k copies

≈ $51k–$993k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of Mineral Town at ≈ 143k–233k copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 694 reviews in their first month; the range was 50 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Farming Sim (8 of 8) and Cozy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Simulation, priced around $40.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

TerraForge
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut
$8.99
117 reviews
Mostly Positive
MiningRelaxing
Fae Farm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 89k–145k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$736k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
STORY OF SEASONS: Friends of Mineral Town
2020
Est. copies
≈ 143k–233k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Wylde Flowers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 69k–112k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$472k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $859k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Winkeltje: The Little Shop
2022
Est. copies
≈ 45k–74k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$187k–$503k after Steam's cut $340k–$774k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Shop KeeperCozy
Cozy Keep: Farm, Craft, Manage
2024
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$34k–$91k after Steam's cut $62k–$140k before Steam's cut
$14.99
332 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessShop Keeper
Echoes of the Plum Grove
2024
Est. copies
≈ 78k–127k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$429k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $780k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Potion Shop Simulator
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$32k before Steam's cut
$12.99
88 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationEconomy

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.