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How many copies did Die Erdnussbutter sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$398–$1k after Steam's cut $724–$2k before Steam's cut
from 59 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Die Erdnussbutter and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Die Erdnussbutter's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 23k–60k
best case 1.4M (Spelunky)
Games like Die Erdnussbutter

A typical game among these

≈ 23k–60k copies

≈ $61k–$392k after Steam's cut

from ~788 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Spelunky at ≈ 1.1M–1.7M copies, ≈ $4.3M–$11.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 384 reviews in their first month; the range was 152 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (7 of 8) and Arcade (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Platformer + Metroidvania + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Switchcars
2021
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$29k–$77k after Steam's cut $52k–$118k before Steam's cut
$8.99
467 reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeAction
99 Levels To Hell
2014
Est. copies
≈ 34k–55k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$47k–$125k after Steam's cut $85k–$193k before Steam's cut
$4.99
606 reviews
Mixed
IndieArcade
Spelunky
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.7M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$18.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Steredenn: Binary Stars
2015
Est. copies
≈ 47k–77k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$169k–$454k after Steam's cut $307k–$699k before Steam's cut
$12.99
969 reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpPixel Graphics
Super House of Dead Ninjas
2013
Est. copies
≈ 109k–177k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$600k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeAction
Rogue Stormers
2016
Est. copies
≈ 41k–67k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$227k–$611k after Steam's cut $413k–$939k before Steam's cut
$19.99
993 reviews
Mixed
Action RoguelikeSide Scroller
Rogue Legacy 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 376k–611k
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
ArcadeMetroidvania
Spirits Abyss
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$26k–$71k after Steam's cut $48k–$109k before Steam's cut
$8.99
430 reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.