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How many copies did Westerado: Double Barreled sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 93k–151k
$384k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $698k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Westerado: Double Barreled and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Westerado: Double Barreled's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 749–85k
best case 9.9M (RimWorld)
Games like Westerado: Double Barreled

A typical game among these

≈ 749–85k copies

≈ $10k–$971k after Steam's cut

from ~322 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Shooter (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: RimWorld at ≈ 7.6M–12.3M copies, ≈ $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 808 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (4 of 8) and Action-Adventure (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Colony Sim + Base-Building, priced around $35.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Clanfolk
2022
Est. copies
≈ 101k–165k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$836k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
RimWorld
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.3M
773x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut
$34.99
249k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
CESSPOOL
2022
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $990–$2k before Steam's cut
$3.99
20 reviews
Positive
RPGCRPG
Desert Of The Dead
2019
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut
$4.99
432 reviews
Mixed
ShooterAction
Colt Canyon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
6.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$218k–$585k after Steam's cut $396k–$900k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
WesternBlood
Day Of Pixel
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$55–$146 after Steam's cut $100–$224 before Steam's cut
$7.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
ExplorationTop-Down Shooter
西部幻想 WestFantasy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 595–967
SteamSpy under 20k
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Free
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Positive
RPGAdventure
MEAT
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut
$6.99
211 reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGPixel Graphics

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.