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How many copies did Desert Of The Dead sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–20k
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$71k before Steam's cut
from 432 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Desert Of The Dead and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Desert Of The Dead's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.2M–5.6M
best case 10.7M (Hotline Miami)
Games like Desert Of The Dead

A typical game among these

≈ 3.2M–5.6M copies

≈ $17.6M–$35.5M after Steam's cut

from ~80k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Hotline Miami at ≈ 8.1M–13.2M copies, ≈ $22.3M–$60.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (2 of 8) and First-Person (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Violent + Top-Down, priced around $10.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2017. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 43 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Metro: Last Light Redux
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$67.9M after Steam's cut $45.9M–$104.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
82k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticFPS
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III
2015
Est. copies
≈ 309k–501k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.7M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
6k reviews
Mostly Negative
MultiplayerFPS
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Hotline Miami
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.1M–13.2M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.3M–$60.0M after Steam's cut $40.6M–$92.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackViolent
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Broforce
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
61k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AmericaAction
Duck Game
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.8M–$18.3M after Steam's cut $12.4M–$28.2M before Steam's cut
$12.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerFunny
Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackGore

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