How much revenue did Colt Canyon make?

$218k–$585k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Colt Canyon sell?

Q: How many copies did Colt Canyon sell?

53k to 86k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 53k–86k; $218k–$585k after Steam's cut $396k–$900k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Colt Canyon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Colt Canyon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 130k–675k

best case 941k (Sifu)

Games like Colt Canyon

A typical game among these

≈ 130k–675k copies

≈ $783k–$5.9M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action Roguelike (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Sifu at ≈ 717k–1.2M copies, ≈ $7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 503 to 4k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (4 of 8) and Top-Down Shooter (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Martial Arts + Beat 'em up, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Sifu 2023	Est. copies ≈ 717k–1.2M 3.9x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	29k reviews Very Positive	ActionMartial Arts
OTXO 2023	Est. copies ≈ 99k–160k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $407k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $740k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeTop-Down Shooter
Golden Light 2022	Est. copies ≈ 99k–161k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $546k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $992k–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	3DAction
Bounty of One 2023	Est. copies ≈ 75k–122k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $145k–$389k after Steam's cut $263k–$598k before Steam's cut	$6.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Top-Down ShooterArena Shooter
Bad North: Jotunn Edition 2018	Est. copies ≈ 436k–709k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	14k reviews Very Positive	WargameVikings
Red Dead Redemption 2024	Est. copies ≈ 543k–883k 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut	$49.99	22k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldWestern
Caveblazers 2017	Est. copies ≈ 157k–254k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $430k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $782k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$9.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikePixel Graphics
12 is Better Than 6 2015	Est. copies ≈ 504k–820k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	10k reviews Very Positive	ActionShooter