How much revenue did OTXO make?

$407k–$1.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did OTXO sell?

Q: How many copies did OTXO sell?

99k to 160k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 99k–160k; $407k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $740k–$1.7M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid OTXO and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including OTXO's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 29k–107k

best case 522k (SYNTHETIK: Legion Rising)

Games like OTXO

A typical game among these

≈ 29k–107k copies

≈ $116k–$837k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: SYNTHETIK: Legion Rising at ≈ 398k–647k copies, ≈ $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 273 reviews in their first month; the range was 37 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (6 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Top-Down Shooter + Rogue-lite, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
SYNTHETIK: Legion Rising 2018	Est. copies ≈ 398k–647k 12x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Top-Down ShooterRogue-lite
Hell is Others 2022	Est. copies ≈ 29k–47k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $119k–$319k after Steam's cut $216k–$491k before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	Rogue-likeTop-Down
Metal Thunder 2024	Est. copies ≈ 15k–25k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $46k–$123k after Steam's cut $83k–$189k before Steam's cut	$10.99	611 reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessFlight
10 Miles To Safety 2020	Est. copies ≈ 25k–40k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $68k–$184k after Steam's cut $124k–$283k before Steam's cut	$9.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyAction
They Don't Sleep 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5k–9k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut	$2.99	218 reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikePixel Graphics
Colt Canyon 2020	Est. copies ≈ 53k–86k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $218k–$585k after Steam's cut $396k–$900k before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Very Positive	WesternBlood
The Last Stand: Aftermath 2021	Est. copies ≈ 169k–275k 6.3x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	7k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesSurvival
God's Trigger 2019	Est. copies ≈ 29k–47k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $120k–$321k after Steam's cut $217k–$495k before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	Top-Down ShooterAction Roguelike