How much revenue did Metal Thunder make?

$46k–$123k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Metal Thunder sell?

Q: How many copies did Metal Thunder sell?

15k to 25k copies, based on its 611 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 15k–25k; $46k–$123k after Steam's cut $83k–$189k before Steam's cut; from 611 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Metal Thunder and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Metal Thunder's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 83k–130k

best case 1.7M (Besiege)

Games like Metal Thunder

A typical game among these

≈ 83k–130k copies

≈ $391k–$707k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Besiege at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 31k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Flight (5 of 8) and Space (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Space + Action-Adventure, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Simulation + Sandbox + Building; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Trailmakers 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 12x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	39k reviews Very Positive	SpaceAction
Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor 2020	Est. copies ≈ 54k–88k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $296k–$796k after Steam's cut $538k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategySingleplayer
Besiege 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 17x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationSandbox
VTOL VR 2017	Est. copies ≈ 752k–1.2M 6.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	22k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FlightVR
Insect Swarm 2024	Est. copies ≈ 67k–108k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $128k–$344k after Steam's cut $232k–$529k before Steam's cut	$6.99	3k reviews Very Positive	FlightShooter
WWII Online 2023	Est. copies ≈ 94k–153k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Mixed	FlightFPS
BallisticNG 2018	Est. copies ≈ 114k–186k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $471k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $856k–$1.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Combat RacingFuturistic
Avorion 2020	Est. copies ≈ 362k–588k 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	15k reviews Very Positive	ExplorationSandbox