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How many copies did HeroStory sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid HeroStory and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including HeroStory's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 361k–605k
best case 1.7M (KARDS - The WW2 Card Game)
Games like HeroStory

A typical game among these

≈ 361k–605k copies

≈ $2.5M–$3.7M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: KARDS - The WW2 Card Game at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (7 of 8) and Card Game (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + World War II. The breakout hits carry World War II + Wargame + Free to Play; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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