How much revenue did Hornet the Vanguard make?

$816–$2k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Hornet the Vanguard sell?

Q: How many copies did Hornet the Vanguard sell?

198 to 322 copies, based on its 8 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 198–322; $816–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut; from 8 reviews (8 user reviews); Only 8 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hornet the Vanguard and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hornet the Vanguard's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 36k–718k

best case 2.1M (Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc)

Games like Hornet the Vanguard

A typical game among these

≈ 36k–718k copies

≈ $274k–$6.4M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 176 reviews in their first month.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Mystery (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Anime + Visual Novel, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.2M 5.3x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.5M–$20.3M after Steam's cut $13.7M–$31.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	33k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeDetective
AI: The Somnium Files 2019	Est. copies ≈ 272k–442k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAnime
Hornet the Vanguard2:The fox smirks 2025	Est. copies ≈ 74–121 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $142–$385 after Steam's cut $259–$592 before Steam's cut	$6.99	3 reviews 3 user reviews	Choose Your Own AdventureHidden Object
Zero Escape: Zero Time Dilemma 2016	Est. copies ≈ 205k–334k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle Visual Novel
Zero Escape: The Nonary Games 2017	Est. copies ≈ 256k–415k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Visual Novel Story Rich
Escape Academy 2022	Est. copies ≈ 36k–58k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $195k–$525k after Steam's cut $355k–$808k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Very Positive	Escape RoomPuzzle
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 6.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeVisual Novel
Detective Ridelle 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut	$14.99	90 reviews Very Positive	DetectiveVisual Novel