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How many copies did Line of Fire - Pirate Waltz sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$69–$184 after Steam's cut $125–$283 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Line of Fire - Pirate Waltz and predicted how it would do from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including Line of Fire - Pirate Waltz's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–4.9M
best case 9.2M (Forza Horizon 5)
Games like Line of Fire - Pirate Waltz

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–4.9M copies

≈ $19.8M–$73.1M after Steam's cut

from ~56k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 6 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Forza Horizon 5 at ≈ 7.0M–11.4M copies, ≈ $115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (5 of 6) and Simulation (5 of 6).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Open World, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DiRT Rally
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
Wreckfest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
42k reviews
Very Positive
RacingDestruction
CarX Drift Racing Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut
$16.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RacingPhysics
Forza Horizon 5
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut $209.7M–$477.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
282k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
F1® 2021
2021
Est. copies
≈ 863k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
35k reviews
Very Positive
RacingDriving
Goat Simulator
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$29.1M after Steam's cut $19.7M–$44.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
70k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationFunny

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