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How many copies did 完美恋人~fragile love sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–10k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
from 247 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 完美恋人~fragile love and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 完美恋人~fragile love's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 152k–295k
best case 588k (missed messages.)
Games like 完美恋人~fragile love

A typical game among these

≈ 152k–295k copies

≈ $891k–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: missed messages. at ≈ 448k–728k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 938 reviews in their first month; the range was 171 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and Female Protagonist (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + LGBTQ+.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Est. copies
≈ 117k–189k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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≈ 159k–258k
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Interactive FictionFemale Protagonist
missed messages.
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2.2x vs typical
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≈ 216k–351k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut
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Overwhelmingly Positive
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