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How many copies did LOCKDOWN Protocol sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496k–805k
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
from 20k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LOCKDOWN Protocol and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LOCKDOWN Protocol's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 260k–380k
best case 4.2M (Deceit)
Games like LOCKDOWN Protocol

A typical game among these

≈ 260k–380k copies

≈ $950k–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Deceit at ≈ 3.2M–5.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Social Deduction (6 of 8) and Horror (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Social Deduction. The breakout hits carry PvP + Horror + Choices Matter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Deceit
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.1M
9.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
92k reviews
Mostly Positive
PvPMultiplayer
Dread Hunger
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
46k reviews
Mixed
MultiplayerSurvival
Feign
2025
Est. copies
≈ 157k–256k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$216k–$581k after Steam's cut $393k–$893k before Steam's cut
$4.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessCasual
Town of Salem 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 229k–372k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlaySocial Deduction
Unfortunate Spacemen
2020
Est. copies
≈ 187k–305k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Very Positive
Survival HorrorInvestigation
Fear Surrounds
2021
Est. copies
≈ 269k–437k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerHorror
In Silence
2021
Est. copies
≈ 296k–482k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$815k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Project Winter
2019
Est. copies
≈ 549k–893k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
Team-BasedSnow

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