How many copies did DragonLoop: Prologue sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 84 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did DragonLoop: Prologue make?

DragonLoop: Prologue is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is DragonLoop: Prologue?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 2k–3k; from 84 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DragonLoop: Prologue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DragonLoop: Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–795k

best case 11.3M (Life is Strange - Episode 1)

Games like DragonLoop: Prologue

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–795k copies

≈ $12k–$3.5M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is 2D Platformer (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Life is Strange - Episode 1 at ≈ 8.6M–14.0M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 835.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 2D Platformer (4 of 8) and Metroidvania (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel 2020	Est. copies ≈ 223k–362k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$11.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ChessTime Travel
Vision Soft Reset 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before Steam's cut	$9.99	165 reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaTime Travel
Timespinner 2018	Est. copies ≈ 97k–158k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $533k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $970k–$2.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaLGBTQ+
SOULBOUND 2021	Est. copies ≈ 149–242 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut	$9.99	6 reviews 6 user reviews	AdventureAtmospheric
Life is Strange - Episode 1 2015	Est. copies ≈ 8.6M–14.0M 38x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	176k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichChoices Matter
Collapse Relapse 2022	Est. copies ≈ 174–282 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $191–$512 after Steam's cut $347–$788 before Steam's cut	$3.99	7 reviews 7 user reviews	MetroidvaniaAction
Quantum Break 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 6.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $14.2M–$38.3M after Steam's cut $25.9M–$58.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	31k reviews Very Positive	ActionStory Rich
Singularity™ 2010	Est. copies ≈ 377k–612k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	6k reviews Very Positive	FPSAction