How much revenue did Hover make?

$410k–$1.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Hover sell?

Q: How many copies did Hover sell?

75k to 121k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 75k–121k; $410k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $745k–$1.7M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hover and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hover's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 651–2k

best case 226k (Jusant)

Games like Hover

A typical game among these

≈ 651–2k copies

≈ $4k–$5k after Steam's cut

from ~30 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Jusant at ≈ 172k–280k copies, ≈ $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 17 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 737.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Parkour (5 of 8) and 3D Platformer (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Puzzle + Adventure + Turn-Based; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Lara Croft GO 2016	Est. copies ≈ 170k–277k 137x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $468k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $851k–$1.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	4k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleAdventure
Jusant 2023	Est. copies ≈ 172k–280k 232x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	7k reviews Very Positive	AtmosphericParkour
At Light Speed 2023	Est. copies ≈ 347–564 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $953–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$9.99	14 reviews Positive	Exploration3D Platformer
Afterthought 2022	Est. copies ≈ 496–806 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut	$16.99	20 reviews Positive	Precision PlatformerDifficult
Air Bounce - The Jump 'n' Run Challenge 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut	$4.99	61 reviews Very Positive	Action3D Platformer
Yupitergrad 2: The Lost Station 2023	Est. copies ≈ 496–806 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut	$17.99	20 reviews Positive	AtmosphericAdventure
Glass Wings 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	72 reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
AVOID 2024	Est. copies ≈ 992–2k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut	$9.99	40 reviews Positive	RunnerDifficult