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How many copies did Afterthought sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496–806
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
from 20 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Afterthought and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Afterthought's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 863–1k
best case 38k (BZZZT)
Games like Afterthought

A typical game among these

≈ 863–1k copies

≈ $573–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~27 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: BZZZT at ≈ 29k–48k copies, ≈ $97k–$260k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 263.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Precision Platformer (7 of 8) and 2D Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Score Attack, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Soundtrack + Time Attack + Score Attack; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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44x vs typical
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Precision PlatformerScore Attack
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ActionArcade

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.