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How many copies did Mushroom Hunter sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 744–1k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 30 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mushroom Hunter and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mushroom Hunter's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 171k–356k
best case 5.9M (Celeste)
Games like Mushroom Hunter

A typical game among these

≈ 171k–356k copies

≈ $1.1M–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 399 to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (7 of 8) and Precision Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Platformer, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Indie + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Deepest Sword
2021
Est. copies
≈ 271k–441k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel Graphics2D Platformer
Super Meat Boy
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
SANABI
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsStory Rich
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bread & Fred
2023
Est. copies
≈ 130k–212k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$537k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $976k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
Co-opLocal Co-Op
Thomas Was Alone
2012
Est. copies
≈ 594k–965k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerNarration
Prince of Persia The Lost Crown
2024
Est. copies
≈ 182k–295k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
HUNTDOWN
2021
Est. copies
≈ 110k–179k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$604k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerPixel Graphics

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