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How many copies did Monkey Splash!! sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 422–685
$695–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 17 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Monkey Splash!! and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Monkey Splash!!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 178k–288k
best case 493k (Rogue Legacy 2)
Games like Monkey Splash!!

A typical game among these

≈ 178k–288k copies

≈ $654k–$2.3M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Rogue Legacy 2 at ≈ 376k–611k copies, ≈ $2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 421 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (6 of 8) and Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Arcade + Metroidvania, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Exit the Gungeon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 93k–152k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$256k–$689k after Steam's cut $466k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
ArcadeAction
Rogue Legacy 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 376k–611k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
ArcadeMetroidvania
I Wanna Maker
2023
Est. copies
≈ 127k–206k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Precision PlatformerLevel Editor
Downwell
2015
Est. copies
≈ 421k–685k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$346k–$931k after Steam's cut $630k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$2.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Precision PlatformerAction Roguelike
Ninja Kiwi Archive
2020
Est. copies
≈ 145k–235k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
CasualArcade
10 Second Ninja X
2016
Est. copies
≈ 138k–225k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$380k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $690k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionIndie
Laika: Aged Through Blood
2023
Est. copies
≈ 167k–272k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$919k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericArcade
Sonic Origins
2022
Est. copies
≈ 161k–262k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action2D Platformer

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