How much revenue did Downwell make?

$346k–$931k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Downwell sell?

Q: How many copies did Downwell sell?

421k to 685k copies, based on its 9k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 421k–685k; $346k–$931k after Steam's cut $630k–$1.4M before Steam's cut; from 9k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Downwell and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Downwell's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–12k

best case 1.2M (BlazBlue Entropy Effect)

Games like Downwell

A typical game among these

≈ 5k–12k copies

≈ $7k–$45k after Steam's cut

from ~171 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: BlazBlue Entropy Effect at ≈ 908k–1.5M copies, ≈ $5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 152 reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 14k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Platformer (7 of 8) and Action Roguelike (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Action-Adventure, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Action-Adventure + Post-apocalyptic + Replay Value; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
3dSen PC 2025	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $57k–$154k after Steam's cut $104k–$236k before Steam's cut	$14.99	559 reviews Very Positive	PlatformerAdventure
Spirits Abyss 2020	Est. copies ≈ 11k–17k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $26k–$71k after Steam's cut $48k–$109k before Steam's cut	$8.99	430 reviews Very Positive	Platformer Rogue-like
Muchacho Bean 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $917–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$2.99	45 reviews Positive	IndieAction Roguelike
BlazBlue Entropy Effect 2024	Est. copies ≈ 908k–1.5M 214x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	37k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeAction-Adventure
DIG - Deep In Galaxies 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut	$9.99	171 reviews Very Positive	PvPCombat
SATANIC PANIC 666 2021	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut	$4.99	158 reviews Mostly Positive	ActionPlatformer
Duck Paradox 2024	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $22k–$60k after Steam's cut $41k–$92k before Steam's cut	$9.99	328 reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerShoot 'Em Up
Nary 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut	$1.99	93 reviews Very Positive	Side ScrollerAction Roguelike